Per Fox Sports,
“The Padres, despite their ongoing hot steak, have precious little chance of making the postseason (CoolStandings.com gives them less than a 10% chance of making it). As well, they’ve been actively shopping Peavy for months. The Mets, meanwhile, badly need help in the rotation. Johan Santana is the best pitcher in baseball, but behind him it’s a veritable superfund site: remove Santana’s sterling numbers from the calculus and the Mets’ rotation runs-per-nine rises to 5.50. In particular, Livan Hernandez and Tim Redding have been awful, and there’s little hope for improvement (and that’s to say nothing of the unfolding disaster that is Oliver Perez in 2009).
Peavy, obviously, gives the Mets a second ace. He’s benefited from pitching his home games in Petco Park â€” the most run-suppressing environment in baseball â€” so he’s not going to be quite as dominant elsewhere. However, Citi Field, unlike, say, U.S. Cellular Park (home of the White Sox, where Peavy was almost traded last week), plays as a neutral park in the non-DH league. That means the change in run-scoring environment won’t be quite so drastic.
Â Peavy, of course, must be persuaded to waive his no-trade provision. If stayin in the NL (his stated preference) isn’t enough, then the Mets can agree to pick up his $22-million option for 2013. That, plus the lure of a pennant race, should be enough for Peavy. As for what the Padres can expect in return, a straight-up deal for the Mets’ top prospect, outfielder Fernando Martinez, is better than what the White Sox were offering.”
According to Dayn Perry over at Fox, Livan is “awful”.Â Granted this article was written before Livan’s masterful performance last night, but even then he was pitching below a 5 ERA; not bad at all for a #5.Â Peavy would look great in this rotation, but at what cost?Â First off, he’s made it very clear he doesn’t want to pitch on the East Coast.Â He’s a good ‘ole boy who needs his Wild Turkey and easy getaways to the woods to hunt him some wild boar.
Also, though the Pads are 8.5 back from the surging Dodgers, they’ve shown they’re a team very capable of getting in a winning frame of mindÂ and go on hot tears despite what CoolStandings.com says.Â SD isn’t ready to throw in the towel just yet.
And as far as giving up Fernando Martinez in a “straight up” deal for Peavy… not likely.Â Martinez has been the “jewel” of the organization.Â The Mets refused to include him in a deal for SantanaÂ last yearÂ so why would theyÂ do it nowÂ for a guy who doesn’t even want to be in NY?Â And I highly doubt that is all its going to take to get Peavy.Â San Diego is an organization based on pitching, so I think it would be safe to assume they’dÂ want in return top prospect Jonathan NieseÂ along with Fernando for the Ace.Â Â