Happy Friday! Let’s take a look at the state of the Mets rotation.
This time through the rotation the Mets are sending Mike Pelfrey, John Maine, Tim Redding, Livan Hernandez and Johan Santana to the mound.
Let’s see how they’ve done this year and what we might expect from them this week:
Pelfrey allowed two runs on six hits while walking one and striking out six in seven innings against the Boston Red Sox on the day the Mets had their best 9th inning in a very long time.
Per fangraphs.com, Pelfrey has a 1.46 WHIP, .289 BABIP, and a 4.73 FIP. Pelfrey’s 1.98 GB/FB ratio is the best of his career and his WAR is 0.4.
In his last start against the Florida Marlins last year, Pelfrey allowed three runs on eight hits while striking out three in six innings.
John Maine (4-3):
Maine allowed one run on four hits while walking three and striking out four in six innings against the Washington Nationals on the day the Mets won their third straight video decision and Gary Sheffield hit his 503rd homerun.
Per fangraphs.com, Maine has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.83 BABIP, and a 4.45 FIP. Maine also has a 0.84 GB/FB ratio and has a 0.5 WAR.
In his last start against the Florida Marlins this year, Maine allowed an unearned run on one hit while striking out four and walking three in six innings.
Redding allowed six runs on eight hits while walking four and striking out four in 4.2 innings against the Boston Red Sox who avoided a sweep by the Mets with homers from Mike Lowell and Kevin Youkilis.
Per fangraphs.com, Redding has a 1.52 WHIP, .304 BABIP, and a 5.41 FIP. Redding also has a 0.55 GB/FB ratio and a 0.0 WAR.
In his last start against the Florida Marlins last year, Redding allowed seven runs on seven hits while striking out four and walking two in 2.2 innings.
Hernandez allowed one run on nine hits while walking one and striking out six in a complete game against the Washington Nationals on the day of the major league debut of Fernando Martinez.
Per fangraphs.com, Hernandez has a 1.41 WHIP, .317 BABIP, and a 4.87 FIP. Hernandez also has a 1.39 GB/FB ratio and a 0.6 WAR.
In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates this year, Hernandez allowed two runs on seven hits while walking four and striking out five in six innings.
Santana allowed three runs on six hits while walking six and striking out 11 in six innings against the Washington Nationals on a breakout game for Daniel Murphy who had a five RBI night.
Per fangraphs.com, Santana has a 1.10 WHIP, .304 BABIP, and a 3.03 FIP. Santana also has a 11.73 K/9 ratio and a 2.3 WAR.
In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates last year, Santana allowed no runs on three hits while walking none and striking out seven in a complete game shutout.
If Tim Redding and Livan Hernandez have better performances than they did against the Marlins and Pirates, respectively, the Mets should be able to go 5 for 5, although the Mets are facing tough pitchers in Josh Johnson, Chris Volstad and Zach Duke.P.S. I'd love some feedback, especially about what's missing from this post. Thanks.
33 comments
johan4cy
5/29/2009-5:12pm at 5:12 pm (UTC -4)
livan is really doing great. much more than what you ask out of your five starter
metsfan4decades
5/29/2009-5:20pm at 5:20 pm (UTC -4)
Agreed. Better than advertised.
rustyjr
5/29/2009-5:26pm at 5:26 pm (UTC -4)
I miss Jose (it’s Lima time!!!) Lima – j/k
Ok we got the first jose Lima joke outta the way
metsfan4decades
5/29/2009-5:43pm at 5:43 pm (UTC -4)
Jose Lima – hahaha – Ah, let’s not go there…
rustyjr
5/29/2009-5:45pm at 5:45 pm (UTC -4)
Why I haven’t seen bleached blonde hair that looked good on a man since flea of the rhcp LOL
metsfan4decades
5/29/2009-5:21pm at 5:21 pm (UTC -4)
wow – great stats, Case. Can look at a glance where our pitchers stand.
johan4cy
5/29/2009-5:23pm at 5:23 pm (UTC -4)
so, over/under 21 wins for johan
rustyjr
5/29/2009-5:27pm at 5:27 pm (UTC -4)
I am hoping for 25 – expecting 20
GravediggerHebner
5/29/2009-5:30pm at 5:30 pm (UTC -4)
Good God our starting pitchers (except for Johan) have high WHIPs, at least based on my limited familiarity with the stat. I had better go look at some league averages.
GravediggerHebner
5/29/2009-5:40pm at 5:40 pm (UTC -4)
Just looking quickly, I am unable to find a way to break it down by starting pitching alone. Based on entire pitching staff, the Mets WHIP of 1.40 is 16th of the 30 ML teams, 11th out of 16 NL teams.
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-5:47pm at 5:47 pm (UTC -4)
ESPN’s sortable stats should allow you to search individual pitchers with an IP minimum.
GravediggerHebner
5/29/2009-5:55pm at 5:55 pm (UTC -4)
Yes, thank you. I was using ESPN. What I was hoping to do was to look it up in a way that separated starting pitchers from relief pitchers, but by staff. In other words, I was hoping to click on a few buttons and see the combined WHIP of Met starting pitchers.
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-6:02pm at 6:02 pm (UTC -4)
I thought I could do it on baseball-reference by clicking on each pitcher for a tally but it appears as if that function only works for individual players and their seasons.
GravediggerHebner
5/29/2009-6:32pm at 6:32 pm (UTC -4)
Yeah I tried that too. I suppose maybe fangraphs or something, but I will have to try some other time. Now, to eat and to watch the Mets.
trs86
5/29/2009-6:37pm at 6:37 pm (UTC -4)
It’s 1.41 from mlb.com the link is too long to post. Go to team stats sortable then select sP.
dirtysanchez
5/29/2009-5:42pm at 5:42 pm (UTC -4)
great post case!
jeez..dont look foward to JJ again..
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-5:45pm at 5:45 pm (UTC -4)
Interesting that the two guys with the most extreme GB/FB ratios (Pelfrey and Hernandez and in a positive way) have such disparate BABIP. That said, the difference between them is fairly extreme since Pelfrey is a groundball machine and might be enough to account for the difference.
Speaking of BABIP — someone needs to explain to John Maine just how difficult his stuff is to hit and that he should just go throw strikes.
rustyjr
5/29/2009-5:46pm at 5:46 pm (UTC -4)
Might be cuz shea stadium part duex is a pitchers park?
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-5:49pm at 5:49 pm (UTC -4)
Could be. But Citi’s effect should really only be seen in the number of HRs given up.
rustyjr
5/29/2009-6:10pm at 6:10 pm (UTC -4)
True
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-5:46pm at 5:46 pm (UTC -4)
I’ll re-state here what I stated elsewhere in follow-up to Grave’s earlier post on hitting stats in wins and losses. The Mets ERA in losses is 8.06 and 2.49 in wins.
In other words, from what I can gather and what my sources reveal, when the Mets pitching stinks, it really stinks. And when it is good, it is really good.
bucknersankles
5/29/2009-5:52pm at 5:52 pm (UTC -4)
Man O Man,
To think Johan should be 9-0, hopefully he should win 20 this year.
rustyjr
5/29/2009-6:11pm at 6:11 pm (UTC -4)
No doubt in my mind that he will
mrose
5/29/2009-6:01pm at 6:01 pm (UTC -4)
later all… i’m off to play some hold’em while drinking and eating and watching baseball.. LETS GO METS!
rustyjr
5/29/2009-6:13pm at 6:13 pm (UTC -4)
U goin up against phil helmuth ?? LOL I’ll be watchin the game with my friend bud wieser LOL
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-6:11pm at 6:11 pm (UTC -4)
Fatcessa says the Mets are trying to trade Castro by tomorrow in order to activate Schneider.
I don’t really understand the preference of Santos over Castro.
trs86
5/29/2009-6:13pm at 6:13 pm (UTC -4)
Money and injury.
rustyjr
5/29/2009-6:14pm at 6:14 pm (UTC -4)
Santos is a better fielder so far and the knock on Castro I’d that he likes to be a backup and is lazy
rustyjr
5/29/2009-6:19pm at 6:19 pm (UTC -4)
Just read on mlbtr that the mariners might be interested on darth spud – who could we get back for him – endy?
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-6:27pm at 6:27 pm (UTC -4)
I’m guessing the return for Castro is likely to be a minor league player or two never to be heard from again.
GravediggerHebner
5/29/2009-6:35pm at 6:35 pm (UTC -4)
There’s one rather outlandish proposal in the comments section on MLBTR, I assume from a Mariners fan, which is Ramon Castro, Ruben Tejada and Dillon Gee for Jarrod Washburn.
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-6:49pm at 6:49 pm (UTC -4)
I wouldn’t bet my last sheckels on that one.
wannybackstra
5/29/2009-6:20pm at 6:20 pm (UTC -4)
You’re both right. But he can hit. And the other two… well, not so much.