While sometimes i feel like the picture above represents how Manuel manages sometimes, these are the odds for the NL east to make the post season and world series as of yesterday(thanks to MLBTR and Baseball Prospectus for the story and info)
Per BP:
Average wins by position in NL East: 92.7 86.4 80.7 74.6 61.6 92.8 NL East W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs Phillies 36 25 .514 88.8 73.2 46.76092 14.71108 61.47199 Mets 32 29 .544 87.7 74.3 41.35023 13.25019 54.60043 Marlins 32 33 .485 79.4 82.6 6.55579 4.58070 11.13649 Braves 30 32 .485 78.1 83.9 5.32047 3.52183 8.84229 Nationals 16 45 .456 62.1 99.9 .01259 .00803 .02062 Per PETCOTA(Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm):Average wins by position in NL East: 94.9 87.5 81.5 74.5 56.0 NL East W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs Phillies 36 25 .558 92.8 69.2 65.79873 10.93088 76.72961 Mets 32 29 .544 86.8 75.2 23.53600 16.80574 40.34174 Marlins 32 33 .467 76.7 85.3 1.85162 1.81355 3.66516 Braves 30 32 .531 82.1 79.9 8.81355 7.84709 16.66064 Nationals 16 45 .406 56.1 105.9 .00010 .00010 .00020 Per ELO:Average wins by position in NL East: 95.5 87.0 80.9 73.8 53.7 NL East W L Pct3 Avg W Avg L Champions Wild Card Playoffs Phillies 36 25 1541. 93.9 68.1 72.32158 8.50063 80.82222 Mets 32 29 1510. 85.3 76.7 17.65092 15.09647 32.74738 Marlins 32 33 1497. 81.3 80.7 7.39925 7.02260 14.42185 Braves 30 32 1477. 76.7 85.3 2.62825 2.56567 5.19392 Nationals 16 45 1410. 53.8 108.2 .00000 .00000 .00000
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