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Sep 18

MLBTR gives a look at 2010 Mets

Check out Tim Dierkes post over at MlbTradeRumors  Offseason Outlook: New York Mets.

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19 comments

  1. trs86

    What a great rational realistic look at next year. Can we hire him for the real Mets sources?

  2. prismo

    This was a great outlook. He came up with the same spending amount as trs, and had some great ideas for players to sign. I like the team Tim built.

    1. trs86

      Close I went low and said 28-32. They had a 150M payroll but that included some other junk. MLB 25 man was around 140-145.

    2. CaseStreet

      hey, didn’t I say $105M + arbitration in my Mets Salary post?

      I get no respect

      1. trs86

        Nope. LOL.
        But yeah we are all in agreement that they have plenty of money to spend if they choose to spend it.

  3. CaseStreet

    I really like Tim’s approach. Pretty much what’s been said here.

    Johnson at 1B, solid starter like Wolf w/ a high risk – high reward guy like Bedard, high OBP LFer like Abreu, and a vet C like Zaun or Barajas.

    Very nice, indeed.

    1. trs86

      Agreed, I think he has been reading.

  4. trs86

    One thing we have to bring into question is Cora. Is he worth 1.5-2M when his production can be replaced at league minimum. Are his intangibles worth 1-1.5M?

    1. stickguy

      probably not worth more than the million, That is not too uch above minimum wage.

      If he wants more, he has to be manager too!

      1. trs86

        Agreed, how much more PRODUCTION does he give you than Wilson Valdez or Anderson Hernandez? They both play for less than .5.
        Last year I loved the idea of Cora but we had more money then and I was worried more about Castillo.

        1. metsfan4decades

          I’m still worried about Castillo. I say try and resign Cora for less money.

          1. trs86

            I know Cora’s injury was a freak incident but how much more reliable is he? I would rather go with Ahern, Valdez, and even Tejeda unless those intangibles are true.

  5. CaseStreet

    Again, I really like Tim’s approach:

    Spend $25M on Johnson and Abreu
    Then remaining $10-15M on Wolf and one of Bedard, Penny, Unit,Pavano or Sheets for 1 yr
    Add cheap Vet C like Zaun or Barajas

    Castillo-Johnson-Reyes-Wright-Beltran-Abreu-Frenchy-C

    1. stickguy

      one problem with that approach is you could very easily lose al of them. Wolf, bedard, sheets and Johnson have injury issues this year (arms, backs, serious stuff) and I would be shocked if any came close to delivering a full season, or close to it.

      Johnson is johnson, a good glove, OBP with some doubles guy (or, about what DW is this year, with a little less power), that you cross your fingers will give you a healthy season. An upgrqade, but worth th emoney?

      Abreu still has OBP, but power and speed are slipping this year, and he is gettign ld. At least he has not previously been injury prone, but I expect him to be a singles hitter in CIti, so basiclaly slappy in the outfield with a few more doubles.

      The cheap vet catcher I am OK with.

      Hell, I like my idea from yesterday better.

    2. trs86

      I like the Abreu idea but spending 25M on them? How? LOL.
      I am assuming you mean 15? Even then I don’t like it.

  6. metsfan4decades

    Pavano? Uh, no thanks…..

    I’m kinda with Stickguy (above) on this one. I love MLBTR and Tim’s posts. He’s got some good points. I think though, I’d rather they save some money for other areas and see if they can sign Delgado on the cheap – rather than Johnson. They’ve got Murphy for the year if Delgado’s health becomes a problem.

  7. stickguy

    Double posting here, but it makes sense in this thread..

    I switched positions and now vote for a 1 year, low base + incentives deal for Delgado. If, of course, he will accept it.

    I wanted him gone last off season, but the situation was different. He was getting paid quite a bit for 2009, and theoretically, could have brought back something useful. Now, he would come cheap, and they get nothing if he leaves.

    ANd at least he had the hip fixed. That was the ticking time bomb.

    Like TRS said, if he isn’t too expensive, you cut bait and move on. Keeping Murphy as a super sub, and really, what have you lost?

    Get a decent guy for LF (byrd is one name, no to damon, but there are other options, FA or trade). Or possibly go with a committee based on who earns it (pagan, Carter, etc. I still want Matt Murton brought in too). That will be cheap.

    Then, load up the payroll on better pitching. If they think Lackey is for real, and will stay healthy, put the money there, then a 2nd SP that should be cheaper (one of the risk/reward guys). I actually think Myers is the best bet. Harden I like, but he could be too expensive, and too high risk.

    Besides, Myers loves the pen, and would be happy to close again if K rod went down, and should be able to handle the putz role if needed.

    Get the vet catcher if he will be better than Santos, since I think Thole is palying his way into a job, but I would rather see him paired with a vet to help him out.

    castillo
    reyes (yes, I want looie leading off if he is here)
    wright
    beltran
    delgado
    francouer
    LF
    C

    santana
    lackey
    myers
    pelfrey
    maine/ollie/neise/neive/etc.

    1. metsfan4decades

      I like it, except Myers. Think I said it somewhere yesterday, but he just makes me nervous….The picture of inconsistency.

      1. metsfan4decades

        Also, I have no problem with keeping Santos at this point.

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