Among things that will negatively affect Molina’s HR and RBI numbers are:
- Molina will bat lower in the order, come to the plate fewer times and see fewer runners on base.
- Molina had huge home road splits. He had a .300 BABIP in home games compared to a .234 mark in road games.
- Molina hits too many fly balls, especially for Citi. Last season he had a 52.5 FB%, by far the highest mark of his career.
- Molina will be a 35 year old catcher.
- Molina won’t play in as many games. Only 11 players in history have caught 70 percent of the time and appeared in 132 games or more as a 35-year old.
So, Molina has to hook on with a new team and hope he does not fall too far in the batting order, hope that last yearâ€™s BABIP road numbers were a fluke, hope that he can maintain one of the best FB% in the majors and hope he can put up arguably the best season of a 35-year-old catcher in history to match last seasonâ€™s numbers.
Obviously, this analysis is taken from a fantasy baseball stats point of view, but the implications mayÂ become true. Molina will have to defyÂ the oddsÂ in order to maintain his 2009 offensive numbers. Molina better call a good game!