Well according to Baseball Prospectus PECOTAÂ is predicting our Mets to finish in fourth place again
here is how they are predicting the  N.L. East .
Philadelphia Phillies ( of course they will !) 88-74
Atlanta Braves ( bastards!)Â 85- 77
Washington Nationals ( WHAT THE !!) 82- 80
New York Mets ( been there done that ) 77 – 85
Florida Marlins   ( this would surprise me !) 76- 86
Â
If this ends up being true I think that Mr. Met will be dragged out and hung by rabid Mets fans like Mussolini .
Oh by the way the yanks are predicted to come in third !!
thanks for the tip Mets Blog !
                                                                        
                                                                     ” Mr. Met incognito !”
11 comments
stickguy
1/29/2010-12:07pm at 12:07 pm (UTC -4)
these predictions are iffy at best, even for teams that were healthy, and all in their prime.
Total crapshoot for a team like the Mets though, with all the guys coming back from injury, and guys with recent history of performance swings.
I really doubt the Mets only win 77 games if they stay normally healthy. And interesting to see them predict the Phils for just 88 wins.
Nats in 3rd? Could happen. Don’t sleep onthem since they could be sneaky good if they stay helathy, and some of the young pitchers mature quickly!
rustyjr
1/29/2010-12:09pm at 12:09 pm (UTC -4)
oh i agree wholeheartedly – just showing when it rains it pours when it comes to being a mets fan lol
mrose
1/29/2010-12:09pm at 12:09 pm (UTC -4)
I’m more surprised at the Nats and Marlins than I am the Mets..
lets the stat heads call us a 4th place or last place finisher this year. f em
rustyjr
1/29/2010-12:09pm at 12:09 pm (UTC -4)
same here
metsfan4decades
1/29/2010-12:09pm at 12:09 pm (UTC -4)
I said it on the last thread. That’s the fun of being a fan. Baseball isn’t played on paper and often those ‘paper predictions’ don’t translate to the season.
rustyjr
1/29/2010-12:11pm at 12:11 pm (UTC -4)
we know this all too well lol
GravediggerHebner
1/29/2010-12:18pm at 12:18 pm (UTC -4)
As I noted when gategem pointed this out in another thread, I would like to remember to look back on this in October and see how well or poorly it worked out.
I would add that I would love to look back at their last 5 or 10 years worth of predictions and see how those came out before praising or panning this.
CaseStreet
1/29/2010-12:42pm at 12:42 pm (UTC -4)
thing is you can’t predict injuries. Ask the 09 WS Championship Mets.
GravediggerHebner
1/29/2010-2:22pm at 2:22 pm (UTC -4)
If you’re intimating that all these projections are just so much mental masturbation then I agree, and pass the lotion.
trs86
1/29/2010-12:49pm at 12:49 pm (UTC -4)
Mussolini was a Mets fan?
gonzowill
1/29/2010-3:58pm at 3:58 pm (UTC -4)
Just a question of credibility, where were the Mets picked to do in 2009 by this “PECOTA”?