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Let’s get down to it OK? Jason Bay has not had a 1st half that many of us expected. Many immediately focus on the 6 HR’s as a cause for concern. Yes his 6 HR’s are a career low for the 1st half (other than 2003 where he only played 3 games in the 1st half) and I am not sure the argument that because of Citi Fields his homers are turned into doubles and triples. His 19 Doubles are at his career averages for seasons where he has played a full 1st half. His 6 Triples are yes above his career averages for seasons where he has played a full 1st half but even if you made all his 6 Triples to HR’s he would still be below his career average of 17.8 HR’s for a full 1st half season.
To me though I can look past the Home-runs the bigger concern is his RBI’s.
Bay’s 44 1st half RBI’s ties the lowest he has had in a 1st half since 2005. (In 2003 & 2004 Bay played only 3 and 48 games so I am only counting seasons where played at least 85 games in the 1st half.) In 2005 Bay had 57 RBI’s in the 2nd half finishing with 101 RBI’s for the season.
Bay’s past reputation of being a streaky hitter leaves hope that he can come close to hopefully duplicating those numbers again in 2010. For the Mets sake I hope so cause other than a 9 game stretch from June 28th to July 6th where he drove in 13 RBI’s over that 9 games. Bay has not really gotten on a hot streak.
Keep in mind that with all that being said Bay’s 44 RBI’s is 2nd only to Wright who has 65 RBI’s. Bay has contributed I am not saying that Bay is a bust, far from it. I fear to think where the Mets would be without those 44 RBI’s but he is the marquee bat that was brought in to drive in runs. That is why the Mets paid him $66M for.
What will Bay do this 2nd half? I don’t know I guess one can only hope his reputation of being streaky is true and he gets HOT! and goes on a tear this 2nd half.
Jason Bay average #’s per 1st half from 2005 to 2009 ( I am not using 2003 & 2004 because I wanted to use what he did over an entire 1st half. )
- HR – 17.8 per 1st half
- Rbi – 58.2 per 1st half
- Run – 55.2 per 1st half
- 2B – 19.8 per 1st half
- 3B – 2.4 per 1st half
In 2010 Jason Bay finished 1st half with 6/HR – 44/RBI – 46/R – 19/2B – 6/3B.
Jason Bay average #’s per 2nd half from 2004 to 2009 ( I am not using 2003 because I wanted to use what he did over an entire 2nd half. )
- HR – 13.3 per 2nd half
- Rbi – 44.3 per 2nd half
- Run – 43.6 per 2nd half
- 2B – 12.5 per 2nd half
- 3B – 1.5 per 2nd half
In 2010 what will Jason Bay finish the 2nd half with?