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Feb 23

Player Projections: Ike Davis

My player projections continue around the horn with a look at Ike Davis:

Ike Davis, 1B – Two things could prevent Ike Davis from having a very good season for the Mets.

  1. His left ankle.  The one he injured in a collision with David Wright.  The one that was misdiagnosed.  The one that ended his 2011 season.  He says it is “good to go,” but he also fears it may never be 100%.  It’s the ankle he uses to push off and transfer his weight during his swing.  If it has healed well enough, he’ll continue to generate the Citi Field-proof power he’s displayed in his first two seasons in Flushing (and with the change of outfield dimensions in 2012, he should be able to wear out the new Mo’s Zone).  It will also mean he’ll be the mobile, reliable first baseman we’re used to seeing – the kind that makes the rest of the infield better.
  2. His ability to lay off a bouncing breaking ball.  In his rookie season, the league figured out that they could get him to chase a bender that started at the knees.  In his sophomore season, before he got hurt, he learned to lay off that pitch.  As a result, not only was he hitting for power, but hitting for a .302 average and a .383 OBP.

Assuming his left ankle is manageable, Davis should be a vital cog to this team, both in the lineup and in the field.

Projection: .276, 28 HR, 94 RBI

FanGraphs: .279, 24 HR, 97 RBI

Up next: Daniel Murphy.

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7 comments

  1. Mr North Jersey

    I missed or just forgot about him saying he fears it may never be 100% again. Fingers crossed that his ankle will be a non issue when all is said and done.

    1. Stick

      I hope that is just a “back of th emind” worry, not anything based on issues he is still having 9as in, it isn’t good enough now).

      Kind of like if you have a serious disease (heart, the big C) and even after you are cured and the docs say you are as good as new, you always wonder if the other shoe is about to drop.

  2. MetsFan4Decades

    My biggest fear is even though he said it feels fine now, the longer the season goes on and the more strain that’s put on it, the more chance it might have of being a chronic problem.

    I guess there’s no way to know until he starts playing. Here’s hoping it doesn’t cause him too many problems.

  3. MetsFan4Decades

    Jeeze, just reading now Ike’s problem for additional testing is a minor lung infection. Not sure if it’s related but hey Ike….lay off that chew.

  4. oleosmirf

    .267 24 HR 89 RBI

  5. kingman 26

    Other than the RBI maybe being a tad optimistic, I think those projections are really right on the money.

  6. TRS86

    .276, 28 HR, 94 RBI

    I will play again.
    .283, 26, 92.

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