Matt Harvey will be making what may be his last start in the minors tonight as a decision on calling him up or not to replace an injured Dillon Gee is soon to be made. Harvey has had an All-Star year at AAA Buffalo this season posting a record of 7-4 3.39/ERA, 42/BB, 102/SO, 98.1/IP. His 98.1/IP is what I want to draw some attention to.
Earlier this season just before the season got underway Mets VP of Player Development Paul DePodesta in an article written by Brian Costa of the WSJ said “You’re not going to see a 50- or 60-inning jump from any of those guys.” The “those guys” he was referring to was Zack Wheeler, Jeurys Familia and Matt Harvey.
Another pitcher who currently has his innings pitched being a focal point and is scheduled to be shutdown once he reaches it is the Nats Stephen Strasburg though it most likely has more to do with his coming back from Tommy John surgery.
In looking at Harvey’s total innings pitched from last year he pitched 135.2/IP between Binghamton & Buffalo combined. If we were to say that Harvey was to pitch 50 more innings than last year that would bring the total to 185.2/IP for this season.
If you were to guess that Harvey would pitch 5 innings tonight that would leave him at 103.1/IP so far on the season with 82.1/IP remaining if we are going to go by what DePodesta said.
If Harvey averages about 6.0/IP per start that would mean Harvey hypothetically speaking has about a little over 13 starts remaining on the season after tonight.
At which point the question then becomes if the Mets find themselves in a playoff race in the last weeks of the season how strict will the Mets be with this innings pitch limit if it means having to shut Harvey down once he reaches it or dare we even go there? Shut him down for the playoffs?
A question I gladly look forward to hoping to have to answer.