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Aug 28

Series Preview: The Battle For Third Place Continues In Philadelphia

The Mets begin a three-game series with the Phillies tonight at 7:05.

The Phillies have been playing much, much better of late. They have won seven of their last ten and are 15-10 this month. They traded away Shane VictorinoHunter Pence, and Joe Blanton, but have actually played better recently. The offense hasn’t been spectacular since  they traded their stars away, but the pitching has been spectacular. Four of the five starters for Philadelphia have been very good this month. Here is a look:

The Phillies are probably still a more talented team, even without Victorino, Pence, and Blanton. Part of the reason they struggled early on is the injuries. Ryan Howard an Chase Utley both missed significant time in the first half. Roy Halladay an others also missed time. It’s too late for them to make a run at the playoffs now, but they are certainly (even now) a much better team than we saw in the first half.

 Team Comparison

Pitching Matchups

Game 1- Tonight 7:05

Chris Young (81 IP, 88 ERA+, 2.20 K/BB)

vs.

Vance Worley (128.2 IP, 99 ERA+, 2.19 K/BB)

Game 2- Wednesday 7:05

Matt Harvey (36 IP, 139 ERA+, 2.87 K/BB)

vs.

Cole Hamels (177.1 IP, 134 ERA+, 3.82 K/BB)

Game 3- Thursday 1:05

Jonathon Niese (159 IP, 108 ERA+, 3.35 K/BB)

vs.

Kyle Kendrick (118 IP, 98 ERA+, 2.05 K/BB)

Offensive Threats

  • Chase Utley- 177 AB, .247/.357.452, 8 HR, 11.9 BB%, 12.9 K%
  • Ryan Howard- 151 AB, .245/.329/.450, 8 HR, 10 BB%, 35.9 K%
  • Jimmy Rollins- 508 AB, .244/.303/.407, 15 HR, 7.9 BB%, 13.7 K%, 23 SB

Notes

  • Jimmy Rollins has been struggling this month. He is hitting just .217 in 92 at-bats. However, he has hit five home runs this month.
  • Ryan Howard hasn’t been the same since returning from an ankle injury. He is striking out in 35.9% of his at-bats, compared to a 27.7% rate for his career.
  • Chase Utley has also struggled since returning. However, his struggles may be more about luck. He has lost a step or two but he’s gotten very unlucky at the plate. His BABIP is just .250, compared to .306 for his career, which suggests that he’s due to catch fire soon.
  • The Phillies will be without Carlos Ruiz, who carried the team offensively through the first half of the year. He was leading the majors in hitting for quite a while but has been out since August 2.
  • The Phillies will also be without Dominic Brown, Freddy Galvis, and Nate Schierholtz in this series.
  • Let’s go Mets!!

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7 comments

  1. Stickguy

    I hate the Phils. Sweep them. Then sleep with their dogs and kick their wives.

  2. darknova306

    You just know that the Mets will wake up Rollins, Howard and Utley… that’s just this team’s luck right now. The pitching matchups look somewhat even, and the Mets’ offense is putrid. Philly could easily sweep this series, but I say the Mets will win one.

  3. srt

    Rollins has been struggling, Howard isn’t the same, Utley also struggling, don’t really have a CF, w/o Ruiz – how are they winning games?

    Dang…I’m with Stick. I’m shooting for a sweep here.

    1. Stickguy

      pitching, and a few nobodies having a fluke hot streak (Kratz? Fransdom or some such?)

      but mostly pitching.

      1. darknova306

        Same as the Mets in this recent stretch, the only aspect of the team that’s done anything is the pitching, with Ike maybe hitting a little nice streak.

  4. Hazmet

    Damn, one of my old friends from my past Phil just passed away and they announced on the game. Somewhat surreal….

    Great guy, great muscian. He used to also do the music for MSG. Used to hang at his house with my buddy Corey who was his roommate in the old days. Corey used to do work with the Dixie Dreggs and many others. So sad, need to see what happened since I just came in and saw his face on the screen. :(

    1. darknova306

      Wow, that’s a crazy way to hear about an old friend passing. Sorry to hear this, Haz.

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